Интересная статья в "The New York Times" о механизме "оранжевой революции".
http://www.nytimes.com/2005/01/17/international/europe/17ukraine.html
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In short, Yanukovich wanted to crack down on the demonstrators, but Ukranian KGB and GRU sided with the oranges against Yanukovich and vnutrennie vojska.
"... Others thought of the Romanian revolution in 1989, when, after troops fired on demonstrators, the people fought back, eventually capturing and killing President Nicolae Ceausescu and his wife." Кучма, видимо, вспомнил эти кадры и в последний момент струсил...